The Colorado Supreme Court ruled on the 19th that former US President Trump did not qualify for the primary election in the 2024 US presidential election in the state because of his involvement in the "riots on Capitol Hill" on January 6, 2021. The Trump campaign team said it would appeal to the Federal Supreme Court.
Why did the Colorado Supreme Court make this ruling? Does the ruling affect Trump's presidential campaign? What impact does the ruling have on the 2024 election campaign?
Why is this ruling made?
Of the seven judges in the Colorado Supreme Court, four supported the ruling and three opposed it. The award quoted the third paragraph of the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution (the "Rebel Prohibition"), which prohibited those who swore to support the US Constitution and later participated in the rebellion from holding public office.
The Colorado Supreme Court held that the "rebel ban" applied to Trump, because Trump was not qualified for public office, and Colorado election officials could not list him as a presidential candidate in the state's primary ballot.
Trump served as president of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. After the US presidential election in 2020, Trump refused to admit defeat to Democratic opponent Biden, and repeatedly claimed that there was large-scale election fraud. On January 6, 2021, during the certification of the election results by the US Congress, a large number of Trump supporters violently broke into the Capitol and caused riots, causing casualties. The House of Representatives controlled by Democrats then impeached Trump for the second time, accusing him of "inciting rebellion".
The Colorado Supreme Court said that the "Capitol Hill riots" were a "rebellion" in which Trump participated. As for the "riots on Capitol Hill", Trump has always denied his misconduct and condemned the legal proceedings based on the "rebel ban", emphasizing that these lawsuits against him are "abuse of legal procedures".
Does it affect Trump's campaign
The Colorado Supreme Court's ruling is currently suspended, pending Trump's appeal and the Federal Supreme Court's ruling. Colorado election officials said that this issue needs to be resolved before January 5, 2024, which is the deadline for the state to determine the list of candidates for the Republican primary election.
Trump faces legal proceedings based on the "rebel ban" in many States in the United States, and Colorado is the first state to make a ruling against Trump. Derek Muller, a professor of law at the University of Notre Dame in the United States, believes that after Colorado takes the lead, other States may be more emboldened to take legal action, which "poses a major threat" to Trump's campaign qualification.
Republicans are generally on Trump's side. A spokesman for the Trump campaign team issued a statement saying that the ruling of the Colorado Supreme Court was seriously flawed, and they would immediately appeal to the Federal Supreme Court, believing that the Federal Supreme Court would make a ruling in favor of Trump.
The Federal Supreme Court is the final appeal court of the American judicial system and has the power to review and overturn the rulings of lower courts. In the Federal Supreme Court, conservatives are dominant, and many justices are nominated by Trump. Norman Eisen, a senior researcher in governance studies at the Brookings Institution, an American think tank, said that the Federal Supreme Court would take this appeal seriously, but it is difficult to predict the outcome.
How to impact the 2024 election campaign?
In November 2024, the United States will hold a presidential election, and the primary elections within the party will be held in various States early next year. At present, Trump is far ahead of other Republican candidates in the polls. On the Democratic side, the current US President Biden is running for re-election.
The New York Times believes that the latest ruling of Colorado Supreme Court is "explosive", which has injected more uncertainty into next year's presidential election at the legal level. In addition to this lawsuit, Trump is also involved in other lawsuits, and he has to "run around" between the court and the campaign. Biden is also in trouble, and Republican members of the House of Representatives are investigating his impeachment.
In the 2000 presidential election, Republican candidate George W. Bush and then Democratic Vice President Al Gore had a dispute over Florida recount, and the ruling of the Federal Supreme Court made George W. Bush win. Rick Hassan, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, said that the Federal Supreme Court was once again pushed to the center of the presidential election, but this time the difference was that the overall political instability in the United States made the current situation look even more dangerous.
As the election year approaches and the legal proceedings surrounding Trump are further launched, the political and social tears in the United States are expected to become more obvious. A joint poll conducted by ABC News and The Washington Post earlier this year showed that more than 40% of the respondents believed that Trump should be banned from running for president according to the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution. Another half of the respondents said that Trump should not be banned from running for the presidency.
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